Honda Classic First Look Course Breakdown + Key Stats

Course Breakdown

PGA National (Championship)

Par: 70

Length: 7,125 yards

Greens: Bermuda

Fancy yourself a challenge? You’ve come to the right place, PGA national typically plays as one of the toughest courses on tour and with a windy forecast on the horizon this is surely to to test the golfers in every aspect of their games. Water comes into play on fifteen holes and there are a whopping 78 (challenging at that) bunkers scattered throughout the grounds of PGA National. This is typically a second shot makers course and I can’t see the golfers going too low this weekend. Brace yourselves for another tough weekend after last week’s Players Championship. 

Key Stats 

Strokes Gained: Approach

  • Weighted most heavily (plenty of water and greenside bunkers lurking)
  • Second shot makers course 

Par 4’s Gained

  • Simply some LONG and challenging par 4’s – avoiding bogeys will be crucial 

Driving Distance Gained + Accuracy 

  • Weighted distance 65% accuracy 35% 
  • Long holes where distance definitely gives an edge (most notably par 5’s where birdies or better are crucial 

Opportunities gained  

  • With winds in the forecast, low numbers should be hard to come by 

 

Power Rankings 

  1. Talor Gooch 
  2. Chris Kirk
  3. Shane Lowry
  4. Brandon Steele
  5. Lee Westwood
  6. Russell Henley
  7. Adam Scott 
  8. Sungjae Im
  9. Joaquín Niemann
  10. Daniel Berger 

Quick Thoughts

Brutal field, challenging course… These are a dream scenario as I feel that there is a severe edge to be had when we remove all of the top names from the leaderboard. Daniel Berger pops immediately in every aspect but that 10-1 number is tough to bite on. Berger hit an outright for us just weeks ago at Pebble Beach so may be a gratitude bet. Richy Werenski is my outside lean here and can be had at up to 100-1 which is worth a couple of dollars to pair with a top 10 finish.

  • Update Tuesday 2:28am – news of a potential Berger injury circulating may put a damper in things in terms of straight vibin’ Daniel Berger finding his way into our card this week. Niemann is my next target at the top 
  • Update Tuesday 2:50am – Dylan Fritelli gaining traction and makes sense here. Down to 50-1. Love a top 10 finish. Also going back to the well with J.T poston placement top 10. 
  • Kevin Streelman (grinder, excels in tough conditions) 80–1 looks good and could see up to a top 5

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